What are your odds of getting married before turning 26? Your state may give you the answer
You may think that the only factor that can influence your odds of getting married before the ripe old age of 26, for example, is your ability to find love. We won’t lie, that’s a biggie. But, it turns out, not the only factor. At least, no according to an analysis by The Upshot and based on the data compiled by a group of Harvard economists. The results show that if you grew up in the state of New York, love may get you to walk down the aisle but not until you’re a lot older than in other states.
Cities are the places that discourage marriage the most and Philadelphia — ranked in 2015 as one of the best cities for singles — is not an exception. People who live in Philadelphia County are 6 percent less likely to marry at all. And Delaware County is the place of Pennsylvania where it’s least likely you’ll marry — 7 percent less likely. However, Pennsylvania is one of the pro marriage states (most of the counties are between 3 and 6 percent more likely to marry) and Juniata County is at the top of the list with a 10 percent. Only 13 counties seems to be the exception: Allegheny, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Dauphin, Lehigh, Bucks, Montgomery, Chester, Monroe, Pike and Northampton.
Washington D.C is the city that discourages marriage the most, according to the analysis, but the New York area is almost at the same level. As the The Upshot points out, the top five counties on the list of the country’s 50 largest counties that discourage marriage are in the state of New York. They call it “The New York Effect.”
On the other hand, Millard County, Utah, has the higher percentage of early marriages.
The political leanings of your hometown also have something to do with your odds of getting married. For example, in Democratic Party bastions — especially the liberals ones like New York, San Francisco, Boston, Washington and Chicago — people are around 10 percent less likely to marry by comparison to the rest of the country. The difference is especially marked when compared to more conservatives states such as Utah or some parts of Colorado and Idaho.
People who grew up in small towns and less populated areas are more likely to marry, despite their political leanings. For example, Iowa and Oregon voted Democratic in 2012 and are two states with a high odds of marrying before turning 26.
The data compiled in the study, which analyzed more than 5 million of people who moved as kids in the 1980s and the ‘90s, suggests that your hometown not only delays marriage, it also makes people less likely to marry at any point in their lives.